The Ohio State Buckeyes are set to host the Michigan Wolverines in a highly anticipated Big Ten matchup. According to a proven computer model, the Buckeyes are favored to win, with a projected final score of 79-72.
– Spread: Ohio State -2.5
– Moneyline: Ohio State -140, Michigan +120
– Over/Under: 150.5 points
The Buckeyes have been trending towards the over, hitting it three times in their last four matchups. Both teams are prolific offensively, with Ohio State averaging 79.8 points per game and Michigan averaging 81.4 points per game.
Why the Buckeyes Will Win
Ohio State has a significant advantage in terms of scheduling. While Michigan has been on a five-game winning streak, they’ve struggled to cover the spread, failing to do so in eight consecutive games. The Wolverines have also been inconsistent on the road, ranking near the bottom nationally in away-from-home performance.
In contrast, the Buckeyes have been solid at home, boasting a 10-5 ATS record in Columbus this season. They also have a favorable schematic matchup, with their elite on-ball ball-screen creation poised to exploit Michigan’s below-average dribble defense.
Picks and Predictions
Based on the analysis, the recommended picks are:
– Ohio State -2.5: The Buckeyes’ strong home record and favorable matchup make them a solid choice to cover the spread.
– Over 150.5: Both teams’ high-scoring offenses and the Buckeyes’ trend towards the over make this a promising bet.
– Michigan Under 74.5 team total points: The Wolverines’ struggles on the road and the Buckeyes’ solid defense make this a good bet.
Overall, the Buckeyes’ advantages in scheduling, home record, and schematic matchup make them the likely winner in this matchup.
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