The stage is set for the 2025 NFL conference championship games, with the winners advancing to Super Bowl LIX on February 9 in New Orleans. The AFC top seed Kansas City Chiefs will host the No. 2 Buffalo Bills, while the NFC No. 2 seed Philadelphia Eagles will host the No. 6 seed Washington Commanders.
The top two teams by power ratings and Super Bowl odds were eliminated in the AFC and NFC divisional round. The Baltimore Ravens suffered a disappointing playoff defeat, with QB Lamar Jackson’s turnovers proving costly in a 27-25 loss at Buffalo. The Detroit Lions, meanwhile, were unable to overcome devastating injuries that plagued their defense, resulting in a 45-31 home loss to the surging Washington Commanders.
The Eagles and Chiefs advanced to the conference championship games despite being outgained in their respective divisional round wins. Philadelphia and Kansas City are favored to reach the Super Bowl, with the Eagles listed as 6.5-point favorites over the Commanders and the Chiefs as 1.5-point favorites over the Bills.
The moneyline odds for the two games are Chiefs (-126) vs. Bills (+108) and Eagles (-290) vs. Commanders (+235). The game totals for both contests are set at 47.5 points, with some top online sportsbooks offering alternative lines and props.
In a rare situation, all four divisional round winners were out-gained by their losing opponents. However, turnovers played a crucial role in determining the outcomes of these games. Teams that were +3 or more in the turnover column this season are an impressive 34-1 against the spread (ATS), highlighting the importance of ball control in the playoffs.
The Commanders-Eagles matchup is particularly intriguing, given their Week 16 encounter. Despite committing five turnovers and having a minus (-3) turnover differential, the Commanders emerged victorious, 36-33. However, the Eagles dominated the Los Angeles Rams in their divisional round win, outrushing them 285-111. With their top-rated offensive line and No. 1 defense, the Eagles are well-positioned to advance to the Super Bowl.
Ultimately, the conference championship games promise to deliver exciting matchups and potentially pivotal moments in the 2025 NFL season. With the stakes higher than ever, teams will need to capitalize on every opportunity to emerge victorious and book their ticket to Super Bowl LIX.
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